Bhubaneswar, Nov 24: A low-pressure system that initially formed over the Malacca Strait and adjoining South Andaman Sea has strengthened into a well-marked low-pressure area and may intensify further into a cyclonic storm by November 26, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Monday. The weather system is expected to move west-northwestwards and intensify gradually over the southwest Bay of Bengal during the next 48 hours.

However, latest indications suggest that the system might eventually change its course and move towards Myanmar, reducing the likelihood of a direct impact on Odisha. Preliminary assessments point out that even if the system intensifies into a full-fledged cyclone, Odisha is likely to escape its major effects.

While IMD has not yet issued a detailed forecast on the storm’s path, intensity, or landfall, multiple international weather models—including GFS and ECMWF—show varying projections. According to these models, the system could intensify into a cyclone between November 26 and 27, track northwestwards till November 30, and then recurve towards the northeast. Some models also suggest that it may weaken over the South Andaman Sea by November 2.

Officials are closely monitoring the evolving situation, and more accurate predictions are expected in the coming days.

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